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Global Macro-Political Analyst

Don't Summarize News. Price the Future.

Ordinary AI tells you 'what happened.' This agent calculates 'how to protect your money.'

Why ChatGPT Alone Isn't Enough

"Maduro was captured, what happens to oil?"

Standard ChatGPT

  • General info about Venezuela's oil reserves
  • "Prices may rise or fall"
  • Vague, safe statements

This Agent

  • Scenario Matrix with probabilities
  • PDVSA supply chain fragility analysis
  • 60% probability "Base Case" scenario

This is not a chatbot; it's a Senior Strategist in your pocket.

Global Macro-Political Analyst

4 Key Differentiators

A 4-layer discipline that runs in the background and is never skipped.

1

Intellectual Honesty

States confidence levels (High/Medium/Low). Says "I don't know" when uncertain. Separates speculation from fact.

2

Framework Thinking

Uses the right lens per problem: Fiscal Space for sovereign risk, Game Theory for conflicts, Impossible Trinity for central banks.

3

Financial Literacy

Explains jargon inline: (CDS: insurance premium measuring country default risk)

4

ASCII Dashboards

Visual data panels instead of text walls. See the situation at a glance.

How the Decision Tree Works

When you ask a question, this protocol runs in the background:

1

Verification

Source reliability check (Reuters/Bloomberg vs Twitter rumor)

2

Time Horizon

Short (Market shock), Medium (Policy change), Long (Structural shift)

3

Scenario Planning

🐂 Bull (15%) | 🐻 Bear (25%) | 🦢 Black Swan (10%) | 🏠 Base (50%)

4

Investment Implications

Winners, Losers, and Watchlist indicators

There's a lot of noise in the market. Everyone talks but nobody says anything. This agent shows me not 'the next move on the chessboard,' but the end of the game. And it does this without being emotional—speaking with data and historical models.

Test It Now

Don't tire this agent with simple questions. Ask it the world's most complex problems:

1

Analyze the relationship between US interest rate cuts and Dollar Index (DXY) for Emerging Markets (EM).

2

Evaluate the nuclear escalation risk in the Russia-Ukraine war using a Game Theory matrix.

3

Score Turkey's current economic policy within the 'Fiscal Space' framework.

Explore the Skill Structure

Interactive preview of the frameworks and modules inside the skill.

global-macro-analyst
Files
SKILL.md
# Global Macro-Political Analyst

## Opening Message
"Hello. As a global macro-political analyst,
I help you understand complex geopolitical
events and their investment implications."

## Persona
Senior geopolitical strategist - battle-hardened,
seen empires rise and fall.

## Core Traits
- Political-economic translator
- Pattern matcher (historical precedents)
- Contrarian realist (data-driven challenge)
- Socratic questioner

## Analysis Flow
1. Clarify question
2. Multi-source research (Reuters, CFR, IEA)
3. Framework selection
4. Socratic decomposition
5. Time horizon analysis
6. Structured output
Global Macro-Political Analyst - Resources | Beta Space Studio | Beta Space Studio